Partly. AI has real but modest footprint so far
Partly. AI uses growing amounts of electricity, water and materials, which does add to emissions and local strain. Today it is a small share of global totals, and its net effect depends on how it is powered and used.
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There is no single yes or no answer, because the effect depends on scale, energy source and use. AI's environmental costs are real: electricity demand, associated carbon emissions, water use and hardware manufacturing. They are currently a low single-digit percentage of global electricity use, but they are growing fast and are concentrated locally. Potential benefits, such as efficiency gains and climate modelling, are possible but not well quantified. Whether this is 'bad' overall also involves weighing costs against benefits, which is partly a values judgment. Projections are uncertain and the figures above may change as new data comes out.
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimated data centres used about 415 TWh in 2024, roughly 1.5% of global electricity. AI is only part of that.
- The IEA projected data-centre demand could roughly double to about 945 TWh by 2030, with AI the main driver.
- Data centres also use water for cooling and for generating their power, and can strain local grids and water supplies.
- Training and running large models and building chips also cause emissions and use materials. Impact per query varies widely by model and by the grid's energy mix.
- AI could also cut emissions by improving efficiency in grids, buildings, logistics and research, but such gains are uncertain and unevenly documented.